Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.869410 0.996592 1.135039 1.296827 1.480593 1.682725 1.921815
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.727206 0.910561 1.127250 1.401723 1.739635 2.141549 2.655390
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.592588 0.805424 1.076807 1.446995 1.937516 2.563799 3.422639
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.499318 0.732517 1.051571 1.517565 2.178077 3.077634 4.392126
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.408479 0.644100 0.988569 1.524933 2.334407 3.504713 5.317916
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.346320 0.584102 0.953819 1.564592 2.541093 4.032186 6.468885
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.284022 0.510842 0.884815 1.538256 2.641367 4.414412 7.459873
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.251098 0.479151 0.875928 1.605646 2.899944 5.079068 8.993955
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.226455 0.456801 0.878243 1.691217 3.200865 5.853884 10.821428
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.197359 0.420133 0.848029 1.712286 3.389339 6.459763 12.439883
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.171166 0.383733 0.811502 1.714285 3.540965 7.017707 14.046063
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.149735 0.352738 0.779835 1.719640 3.698150 7.604449 15.782912
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.131681 0.325879 0.752873 1.732057 3.875581 8.262722 17.768652
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.118613 0.307721 0.741406 1.775788 4.125598 9.101326 20.237212
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.103890 0.282517 0.709687 1.769016 4.265239 9.731119 22.359341
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.094195 0.267804 0.699686 1.810642 4.519830 10.640556 25.206941
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.082419 0.245094 0.666184 1.789963 4.626132 11.237031 27.441172
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.074523 0.231239 0.652411 1.815994 4.848742 12.127463 30.466851
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.064660 0.209565 0.614204 1.772222 4.890807 12.600323 32.573478
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.060411 0.203617 0.617506 1.839978 5.229679 13.833149 36.680538
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.057315 0.200573 0.628436 1.930775 5.643555 15.305438 41.571390
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.052172 0.189804 0.615041 1.950103 5.866207 16.321432 45.432873
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.047031 0.177848 0.595882 1.949249 6.032505 17.212738 49.085495